I reviewed how long Bitcoin took to recover after: 2013, 2017 and 2021.

I went through the three major all-time highs in Bitcoin's history and how long it took to recover the price after each crash:

• Dec 2013 → dropped 85% → took 4 years to recover
• Dec 2017 → dropped 84% → took 3 years
• Nov 2021 → dropped 77% → took 2 years and 4 months

The recovery window seems to be shrinking each cycle (4 → 3 → 2.3 years), though there's obviously no guarantee the next one plays out the same way.

Interesting extra data point: according to a Bank for International Settlements (BIS) working paper, an estimated 81% of people who buy crypto at some point in the cycle end up losing money — not necessarily because of a bad entry price, but because they don't hold through the drawdown.

So being in the 19% that actually wins is easy — you just need the ability to wait. I don't understand why nobody's talking about Bitcoin right now, when we're at cycle lows and the recovery keeps getting faster each time.

BIS source: https://www.bis.org/publ/work1049.htm