 | EXPERIMENT - Tracking 2025 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Four - Down -18% Find the full blog post with all the tables and graphs here. Welcome to your monthly no-shill data dump: Here's the Q1 report for the 2025 Top Ten Experiment featuring BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, USDC, ADA, Tron, and AVAX. SNAPSHOTS ALWAYS TAKEN ON FIRST OF THE MONTH (data below reflects 1 MAY Snapshot). tl;dr
Month Four – Down -18%The 2025 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Portfolio is BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, USDC, ADA, Tron, AVAX. April highlights for the 2025 Top Ten Portfolio:
April RankingHere’s a look at the movement in the ranks one month into the 2025 Top Ten Index Fund Experiment: Four months into 2025, not much movement: only AVAX has dropped out of the Top Ten. April Winners and LosersApril Winners – SOL and BTC, up +20% and +14% respectively. April Losers – A mostly flat month, but ETH finished down a touch in April (-2%) as did BNB (-1%). Overall Update: BTC overtakes XRP for the lead; portfolio under water; most cryptos in negative territoryAfter a fairly good start (the portfolio was +7% in January), the 2025 Top Ten Portfolio is down -18%. Year to date BTC (+4%) has retaken first place and now maintains a small lead over second place XRP (+2%). These two are also the only cryptos currently in positive territory in 2025. The initial $100 invested in first place BTC four months ago is worth $104 today. Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2025:The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio gained $46 in April, a welcome change from the two previous losing months. The initial $1000 investment on New Year’s Day 2025 is now worth $822, roughly back where it was at the end of February. Here’s a visual summary of year one of the 2025 Top Ten portfolio: 2025 Top Ten Portfolio vs. Coinbase’s COIN50The first Top Ten Crypto Experiment was started on 1 January 2018 in an attempt to capture the gains of the entire market. Much has changed over the last 7+ years, including the introduction of index products designed to capture the entire crypto market (instead of manually buying coins and tokens like I do for my Experiments). This year’s friendly competition is between The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio and the Coinbase 50 Index (COIN50). COIN50 tracks the performance of the 50 largest digital assets by market cap, rebalanced quarterly. On 1 January 2025, COIN50 was valued at $450.54. Here’s the snapshot, four months later: April Performances:
The April monthly victory goes to: COIN50 (its first monthly victory) Overall since January 1st, 2025:
Overall lead: The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio For the more visual, here’s the table I’ll be using to track the friendly Top Ten vs. COIN50 competition this year: Combining the 2018 – 2025 Top Ten Crypto PortfoliosThe 2025 Top Ten is one of eight concurrent experimental portfolios. So, where do we stand if we combine eight years of the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments?
Taking the eight portfolios together: After a $8,000 total investment in the 2018 – 2025 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $26,638. That’s up +233% on the combined portfolio. The peak for the combined Top Ten Index Fund Experiment Portfolios was November 2021’s all time high of +533%. Here’s the combined monthly ROI since I started tracking the metric in January 2020: In summary: That’s a +233% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for eight straight years. Comparison to S&P 500I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of my Experiment to have a comparison point to traditional markets. The S&P 500 is down -5% so far in 2025, so the initial $1k investment into crypto on New Year’s Day would be worth $953 had it been redirected to the S&P. Taking the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments, the yields are the following:
Taken together, the results for a similar approach with the S&P: After eight $1,000 annual investments on January 1st into an S&P 500 index fund from 2018 to 2025 my portfolio would be worth $12,323. That is up +54% since January 2018 compared to a +233% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios. The visual below shows a comparison on ROI between a Top Ten Crypto approach and the S&P as per the rules of the Top Ten Experiments: Conclusion:To the long time followers of the Top Ten Experiments, thank you for sticking around so long. For those just getting into crypto, I hope these reports will help prepare you for the highs and lows that await on your crypto adventures. Buckle up, go with the flow, think long term, and truly don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Most importantly, take care of your family, yourselves, and try to enjoy the ride. A reporting note: I’ll focus on 2025 Top Ten Portfolio reports + one other portfolio on a rotating basis this year, so expect two reports per month. April’s extended report is on the 2021 Top Ten Portfolio. For more data, you can check out the latest 2018-2024 Top Ten reports as well. [link] [comments] |
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